Last updated Monday December 13, 2021 6pm.
Forecast Start: Wednesday December 8, 2021 11am
Forecast End: Saturday December 11, 2021 5am
* = No reliable observations, verification uses SNODAS estimates which
may be incorrect.
"Score" accounts for the spread/range of an accurate forecast. Lower
spread = higher score. For instance, if 4" falls at a certain location,
the forecast for 2-7" gets less points than the forecast for 3-5". Points are deducted for very inaccurate forecasts.
Thomas Horner Weather Forecaster @ Highpoint Weather
Issued Wed Dec. 8 3pm
Note: (Wed Dec. 8 6pm) Worked with consistent ranges. E.g. 3-8, 4-9, 5-10, 6-12, 7-14, 8-16, 9-18, 10-20, 12-24...
Central Colorado
5/35pts (14%)
✔️4/7 (57%)
💥3/7 (42%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 10-20" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 9-18" Forecast Actual24" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 12-24" Forecast Actual23" ✔️
Buttermilk: 9-18" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 10-20" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Crested Butte: 12-24" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 6-12" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 15-30" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 7-14" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Front Range
2/10pts (20%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 8-16" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
East Portal*: 3-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 2-7" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 5-10" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 3-8" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
11/30pts (36%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 4-9" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 6-12" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Echo Mountain*: 0-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 6-12" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Keystone: 3-8" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 4-9" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Winter Park: 4-9" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
I-70 West
4/25pts (16%)
✔️3/5 (60%)
💥2/5 (40%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 10-20" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 4-9" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 5-10" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Powderhorn: 12-24" Forecast Actual23" ✔️
Ski Cooper*: 6-12" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 8-16" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 9-18" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Park Range / WY
6/20pts (30%)
✔️3/4 (75%)
💥1/4 (25%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 8-16" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 15-30" Forecast Actual28" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 10-20" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Snowy Range: 8-16" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 10-20" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
0/30pts (0%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 0-4" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 12-24" Forecast Actual29" 💥️
Red Mountain Pass: 12-24" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: 4-9" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Telluride S.A.: 10-20" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 12-24" Forecast Actual34" 💥️
OpenSnow Weather Forecaster
Issued Wed Dec. 8 3pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 7 6pm) Pulled from each individual area's 12-Hr forecast.
Central Colorado
-1/30pts (-4%)
✔️1/6 (16%)
💥5/6 (83%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 9-20" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 7-17" Forecast Actual24" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 12-22" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Buttermilk: 5-14" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: No Forecast Actual15"
Crested Butte: 14-28" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: No Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 21-38" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 8-16" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Front Range
2/10pts (20%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌1/2 (50%)
Cameron Pass: 9-20" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
East Portal*: No Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 3-9" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: No Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: No Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
9/30pts (30%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 3-9" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 4-10" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Echo Mountain*: 1-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 4-12" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Keystone: 3-9" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 4-10" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Winter Park: 4-10" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
I-70 West
4/25pts (16%)
✔️3/5 (60%)
💥2/5 (40%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 12-22" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 3-9" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 3-10" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Powderhorn: 17-29" Forecast Actual23" ✔️
Ski Cooper*: 4-12" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 9-18" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 7-17" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 10-20" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Park Range / WY
7/20pts (35%)
✔️3/4 (75%)
💥1/4 (25%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 8-16" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 24-40" Forecast Actual28" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 12-26" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Snowy Range: 7-14" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 16-30" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
7/30pts (23%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥2/6 (33%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 0-3" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 14-24" Forecast Actual29" 💥️
Red Mountain Pass: 15-27" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 14-25" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: 7-17" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 14-26" Forecast Actual26" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 20-33" Forecast Actual34" 💥️
NWS NDFD National Weather Service Forecaster/Model
Issued Wed Dec. 8 11am
Note: (Tue Dec. 7 6pm) Forecast range accounts for different model runs.
Central Colorado
-10/35pts (-29%)
✔️1/7 (14%)
💥6/7 (85%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 7-11" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 6-10" Forecast Actual24" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 10-16" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Buttermilk: 6-10" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 8-14" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Crested Butte: 12-16" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 10-13" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 20-26" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 7-13" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Front Range
0/10pts (0%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌1/2 (50%)
Cameron Pass: 10-16" Forecast Actual9" ❌️
East Portal*: 3-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 2-7" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 6-10" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 3-7" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
10/30pts (33%)
✔️5/6 (83%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 4-8" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 4-8" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Echo Mountain*: 1-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 4-9" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Keystone: 3-6" Forecast Actual8" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 4-8" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Winter Park: 3-7" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
I-70 West
-6/25pts (-24%)
✔️0/5 (0%)
💥5/5 (100%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 6-11" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 3-6" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 6-8" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Powderhorn: 16-21" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Ski Cooper*: 5-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 10-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 5-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 6-11" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Park Range / WY
8/20pts (40%)
✔️3/4 (75%)
💥1/4 (25%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 8-11" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 22-35" Forecast Actual28" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 13-17" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Snowy Range: 8-13" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 14-23" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
0/30pts (0%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 1-2" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 17-20" Forecast Actual29" 💥️
Red Mountain Pass: 14-19" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 14-19" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: 7-9" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Telluride S.A.: 10-15" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 19-25" Forecast Actual34" 💥️
HighpointWx App Weather Model
Issued Wed Dec. 8 11am
Note: (Tue Dec. 7 6pm) Pulled from each individual area's forecast.
Central Colorado
4/35pts (11%)
✔️5/7 (71%)
💥2/7 (28%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 9-23" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 8-24" Forecast Actual24" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 12-27" Forecast Actual23" ✔️
Buttermilk: 8-22" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 5-18" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Crested Butte: 10-27" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 9-26" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 13-28" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 2-16" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Front Range
1/10pts (10%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 7-23" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
East Portal*: 1-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 0-7" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 1-10" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 1-10" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
6/30pts (20%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 4-17" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 3-14" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Echo Mountain*: 0-5" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 5-18" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Keystone: 3-15" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 4-16" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Winter Park: 4-16" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
I-70 West
6/25pts (24%)
✔️5/5 (100%)
💥0/5 (0%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 7-23" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 4-17" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Copper Mountain: 5-20" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Powderhorn: 12-24" Forecast Actual23" ✔️
Ski Cooper*: 7-22" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 9-21" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 6-21" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 7-20" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Park Range / WY
7/20pts (35%)
✔️4/4 (100%)
💥0/4 (0%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 8-22" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 14-32" Forecast Actual28" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 11-26" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Snowy Range: 9-23" Forecast Actual17" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 14-30" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
0/30pts (0%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 0-2" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 11-25" Forecast Actual29" 💥️
Red Mountain Pass: 13-29" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 15-30" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: 0-6" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Telluride S.A.: 10-24" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 7-22" Forecast Actual34" 💥️
NBM 25/75 Model Blend 25th - 75th Percentile
Issued Wed Dec. 8 5am
Note: (Tue Dec. 7 6pm) NBM probabilistic forecast: 25th to 75th percentile.
Central Colorado
-14/35pts (-40%)
✔️0/7 (0%)
💥7/7 (100%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 8-12" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 7-11" Forecast Actual24" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 10-13" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Buttermilk: 8-11" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 5-9" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Crested Butte: 10-14" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 6-11" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 13-17" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 3-8" Forecast Actual11" 💥️
Front Range
3/10pts (30%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌1/2 (50%)
Cameron Pass: 6-9" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
East Portal*: 3-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 3-4" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: 4-8" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 3-4" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
3/30pts (10%)
✔️1/6 (16%)
💥5/6 (83%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 3-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Berthoud Pass: 3-5" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Echo Mountain*: 2-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 3-6" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
Keystone: 3-5" Forecast Actual8" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 3-5" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Winter Park: 3-5" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
I-70 West
-8/25pts (-32%)
✔️0/5 (0%)
💥5/5 (100%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 6-10" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 3-6" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 4-7" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Powderhorn: 8-13" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Ski Cooper*: 5-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 6-12" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 4-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 5-9" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Park Range / WY
-4/20pts (-20%)
✔️0/4 (0%)
💥4/4 (100%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 7-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 9-21" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 7-11" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Snowy Range: 7-13" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 8-14" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Southern Colorado / NM
-10/30pts (-34%)
✔️1/6 (16%)
💥5/6 (83%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 0-1" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 10-15" Forecast Actual29" 💥️
Red Mountain Pass: 10-14" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Silverton S.A.*: 9-14" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: 1-4" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Telluride S.A.: 9-13" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 5-14" Forecast Actual34" 💥️
NBM 50/90 Model Blend 50th - 90th Percentile
Issued Wed Dec. 8 5am
Note: (Tue Dec. 7 6pm) NBM probabilistic forecast: 50th to 90th percentile.
Central Colorado
-8/35pts (-23%)
✔️0/7 (0%)
💥7/7 (100%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 11-23" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 9-12" Forecast Actual24" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 12-15" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Buttermilk: 10-12" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 5-11" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Crested Butte: 11-24" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 8-12" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 14-34" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 4-8" Forecast Actual11" 💥️
Front Range
2/10pts (20%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌1/2 (50%)
Cameron Pass: 8-14" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
East Portal*: 4-5" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 3-5" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: 6-9" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 3-5" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
5/30pts (16%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 4-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Berthoud Pass: 4-6" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Echo Mountain*: 2-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 4-7" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
Keystone: 4-5" Forecast Actual8" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 4-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Winter Park: 4-7" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
I-70 West
-4/25pts (-16%)
✔️1/5 (20%)
💥4/5 (80%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 9-16" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 4-6" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 5-8" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Powderhorn: 10-15" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Ski Cooper*: 5-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 9-13" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 6-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 8-14" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Park Range / WY
1/20pts (5%)
✔️1/4 (25%)
💥3/4 (75%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 8-11" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 10-24" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 9-13" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Snowy Range: 9-17" Forecast Actual17" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 9-17" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Southern Colorado / NM
-1/30pts (-4%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 1-2" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 12-24" Forecast Actual29" 💥️
Red Mountain Pass: 10-23" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 10-23" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: 3-5" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Telluride S.A.: 10-20" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 9-21" Forecast Actual34" 💥️
NBM Model Blend Deterministic
Issued Wed Dec. 8 9am
Note: (Tue Dec. 7 6pm) NBM deterministic forecast. Forecast range accounts for different model runs.
Central Colorado
-8/35pts (-23%)
✔️2/7 (28%)
💥5/7 (71%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 9-11" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 9-11" Forecast Actual24" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 13-18" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Buttermilk: 9-10" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 11-20" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Crested Butte: 13-16" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 8-12" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 17-25" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 8-17" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Front Range
0/10pts (0%)
✔️0/2 (0%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌2/2 (100%)
Cameron Pass: 10-15" Forecast Actual9" ❌️
East Portal*: 6-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 4-6" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: 8-10" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 5-7" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
6/30pts (20%)
✔️3/6 (50%)
💥3/6 (50%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 4-6" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 4-6" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Echo Mountain*: 1-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 5-9" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Keystone: 3-4" Forecast Actual8" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 4-8" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Winter Park: 4-6" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
I-70 West
2/25pts (8%)
✔️2/5 (40%)
💥3/5 (60%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 8-18" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 4-7" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 5-9" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Powderhorn: 19-27" Forecast Actual23" ✔️
Ski Cooper*: 5-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 10-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 5-12" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 7-15" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Park Range / WY
9/20pts (45%)
✔️3/4 (75%)
💥0/4 (0%)
❌1/4 (25%)
Bluebird*: 9-13" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 31-46" Forecast Actual28" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 13-19" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Snowy Range: 12-17" Forecast Actual17" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 12-20" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
-3/30pts (-10%)
✔️1/6 (16%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌1/6 (16%)
Cuchara*: 3-5" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Purgatory: 15-18" Forecast Actual29" 💥️
Red Mountain Pass: 13-17" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Silverton S.A.*: 12-16" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: 8-12" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 12-13" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 21-30" Forecast Actual34" 💥️
CAIC WRF 2km CAIC's Hi-Res WRF Model
Issued Wed Dec. 8 11am
Note: (Tue Dec. 7 6pm) Range includes multiple runs.
Central Colorado
1/35pts (2%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 10-15" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 10-15" Forecast Actual24" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 20-30" Forecast Actual23" ✔️
Buttermilk: 8-15" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 10-25" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Crested Butte: 10-25" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 25-40" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 8-30" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Front Range
-1/10pts (-10%)
✔️0/2 (0%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌2/2 (100%)
Cameron Pass: 10-20" Forecast Actual9" ❌️
East Portal*: 9-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 6-10" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 7-15" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
4/30pts (13%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌4/6 (66%)
A-Basin: 9-20" Forecast Actual6" ❌️
Berthoud Pass: 9-15" Forecast Actual7" ❌️
Echo Mountain*: 1-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 10-20" Forecast Actual9" ❌️
Keystone: 5-12" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 10-20" Forecast Actual5" ❌️
Winter Park: 7-9" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
I-70 West
11/25pts (44%)
✔️5/5 (100%)
💥0/5 (0%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 15-20" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 9-20" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Copper Mountain: 10-20" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Powderhorn: 10-25" Forecast Actual23" ✔️
Ski Cooper*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 15-25" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 10-20" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Park Range / WY
1/20pts (5%)
✔️2/4 (50%)
💥0/4 (0%)
❌2/4 (50%)
Bluebird*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 40-50" Forecast Actual28" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 15-30" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Snowy Range: 10-20" Forecast Actual17" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 20-40" Forecast Actual18" ❌️
Southern Colorado / NM
5/30pts (16%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥2/6 (33%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 1-6" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 10-20" Forecast Actual29" 💥️
Red Mountain Pass: 15-25" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 15-25" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: 4-15" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 10-20" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 30-40" Forecast Actual34" ✔️
NAM 12km NAM Model
Issued Wed Dec. 8 5am
Note: (Tue Dec. 7 6pm) Range includes multiple runs. Assumed a 15:1 snow-liquid-ratio.
Central Colorado
-3/35pts (-9%)
✔️1/7 (14%)
💥6/7 (85%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 12-17" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 11-15" Forecast Actual24" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 14-18" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Buttermilk: 11-17" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 4-14" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Crested Butte: 20-27" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 9-13" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 30-39" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 10-14" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Front Range
0/10pts (0%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌1/2 (50%)
Cameron Pass: 15-27" Forecast Actual9" ❌️
East Portal*: 2-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 0-5" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 6-11" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 1-4" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
9/30pts (30%)
✔️5/6 (83%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 2-6" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 3-7" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Echo Mountain*: 0-2" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 5-9" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Keystone: 3-7" Forecast Actual8" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 3-8" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Winter Park: 6-8" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
I-70 West
2/25pts (8%)
✔️3/5 (60%)
💥2/5 (40%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 12-21" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 1-5" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 3-8" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Powderhorn: 14-27" Forecast Actual23" ✔️
Ski Cooper*: 4-10" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 9-13" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 5-11" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 10-18" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Park Range / WY
5/15pts (33%)
✔️2/3 (66%)
💥0/3 (0%)
❌1/3 (33%)
Bluebird*: 12-27" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 27-36" Forecast Actual28" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 15-27" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Snowy Range: No Forecast Actual17"
Steamboat S.A.: 20-33" Forecast Actual18" ❌️
Southern Colorado / NM
6/25pts (24%)
✔️2/5 (40%)
💥3/5 (60%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Cuchara*: 0" Forecast Actual1" 💥️
Purgatory: 20-30" Forecast Actual29" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 17-21" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 17-21" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: No Forecast Actual12"
Telluride S.A.: 17-24" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 20-27" Forecast Actual34" 💥️
GFS 20km GFS Model
Issued Wed Dec. 8 5am
Note: (Tue Dec. 7 6pm) Range includes multiple runs. Assumed a 15:1 snow-liquid-ratio.
Central Colorado
7/35pts (20%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 17-23" Forecast Actual26" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 15-19" Forecast Actual24" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 17-23" Forecast Actual23" ✔️
Buttermilk: 15-21" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 11-15" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Crested Butte: 25-27" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 13-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 32-37" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 8-10" Forecast Actual11" 💥️
Front Range
-1/10pts (-10%)
✔️0/2 (0%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌2/2 (100%)
Cameron Pass: 12-17" Forecast Actual9" ❌️
East Portal*: 7-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 6-8" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: 12-15" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 6-8" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
7/30pts (23%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌3/6 (50%)
A-Basin: 6-8" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 8-10" Forecast Actual7" ❌️
Echo Mountain*: 2-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 8-10" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Keystone: 5-7" Forecast Actual8" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 7-9" Forecast Actual5" ❌️
Winter Park: 8-10" Forecast Actual7" ❌️
I-70 West
-1/25pts (-4%)
✔️1/5 (20%)
💥4/5 (80%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 12-17" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 3-7" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 5-9" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Powderhorn: 9-17" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Ski Cooper*: 7-11" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 15-21" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 7-11" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 11-15" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Park Range / WY
9/20pts (45%)
✔️3/4 (75%)
💥1/4 (25%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 11-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 19-21" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 12-15" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Snowy Range: 17-23" Forecast Actual17" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 13-19" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
5/30pts (16%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥2/6 (33%)
❌2/6 (33%)
Cuchara*: 1-4" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 29-35" Forecast Actual29" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 25-35" Forecast Actual18" ❌️
Silverton S.A.*: 25-35" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: 5-10" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Telluride S.A.: 27-35" Forecast Actual26" ❌️
Wolf Creek: 25-33" Forecast Actual34" 💥️
ECMWF (Euro) ECMWF Model
Issued Wed Dec. 8 5am
Note: (Tue Dec. 7 6pm) Range includes multiple runs. Assumed a 15:1 snow-liquid-ratio.
Central Colorado
9/35pts (25%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥1/7 (14%)
❌3/7 (42%)
Aspen Highlands: 20-27" Forecast Actual26" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 17-24" Forecast Actual24" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 24-30" Forecast Actual23" ❌️
Buttermilk: 20-27" Forecast Actual18" ❌️
Cottonwood Pass*: 12-17" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Crested Butte: 24-30" Forecast Actual31" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 15-21" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 30-39" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 12-17" Forecast Actual11" ❌️
Front Range
0/10pts (0%)
✔️0/2 (0%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌2/2 (100%)
Cameron Pass: 12-21" Forecast Actual9" ❌️
East Portal*: 5-10" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 5-10" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: 11-17" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 5-8" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
8/30pts (26%)
✔️3/6 (50%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌3/6 (50%)
A-Basin: 7-10" Forecast Actual6" ❌️
Berthoud Pass: 7-10" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Echo Mountain*: 2-5" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 9-13" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Keystone: 8-11" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 9-11" Forecast Actual5" ❌️
Winter Park: 8-13" Forecast Actual7" ❌️
I-70 West
4/25pts (16%)
✔️2/5 (40%)
💥3/5 (60%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 14-18" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 7-10" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 9-11" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Powderhorn: 15-21" Forecast Actual23" 💥️
Ski Cooper*: 10-13" Forecast Actual N/A
Sunlight*: 15-21" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail Pass*: 9-13" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 12-18" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Park Range / WY
6/15pts (40%)
✔️2/3 (66%)
💥1/3 (33%)
❌0/3 (0%)
Bluebird*: 11-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 20-27" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 14-21" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Snowy Range: No Forecast Actual17"
Steamboat S.A.: 17-24" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
8/25pts (32%)
✔️3/5 (60%)
💥0/5 (0%)
❌2/5 (40%)
Cuchara*: 3-6" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Purgatory: 20-30" Forecast Actual29" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 24-30" Forecast Actual18" ❌️
Silverton S.A.*: 20-30" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.A.: No Forecast Actual12"
Telluride S.A.: 20-27" Forecast Actual26" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 27-36" Forecast Actual34" ✔️