Last updated Thursday December 16, 2021 9pm.
Forecast Start: Tuesday December 14, 2021 5pm
Forecast End: Thursday December 16, 2021 5am
* = No reliable observations, verification uses SNODAS estimates which
may be incorrect.
"Score" accounts for the spread/range of an accurate forecast. Lower
spread = higher score. For instance, if 4" falls at a certain location,
the forecast for 2-7" gets less points than the forecast for 3-5". Points are deducted for very inaccurate forecasts.
Thomas Horner Weather Forecaster @ Highpoint Weather
Issued Tue Dec. 14 9pm
Central Colorado
5/35pts (14%)
✔️6/7 (85%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Aspen Highlands: 2-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 2-6" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 3-7" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Buttermilk: 2-6" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 2-6" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Crested Butte S.A.: 2-8" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Independence Pass*: 2-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 4-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 2-7" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Front Range
3/10pts (30%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 1-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
East Portal*: 0-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 0-3" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 0-4" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 0-4" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
4/30pts (13%)
✔️5/6 (83%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 1-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 1-5" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Echo Mountain*: 0-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 1-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Keystone: 1-5" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 1-5" Forecast Actual3.5" ✔️
Winter Park: 1-5" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
3/35pts (8%)
✔️7/7 (100%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 3-8" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 2-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Copper Mountain: 2-7" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Powderhorn: 3-8" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 2-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Sunlight: 2-7" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 2-7" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 3-8" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Park Range / WY
3/20pts (15%)
✔️2/4 (50%)
💥1/4 (25%)
❌1/4 (25%)
Bluebird*: 2-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 6-12" Forecast Actual4" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 4-9" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Snowy Range: 0-4" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 3-8" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
10/30pts (33%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 0-3" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 8-16" Forecast Actual10" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 7-14" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 7-14" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 1-5" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 3-9" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 10-20" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
OpenSnow Weather Forecaster
Issued Tue Dec. 14 9pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 14 9pm) Pulled from each individual area's 12-Hr forecast.
Central Colorado
10/30pts (33%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 3-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 2-5" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 4-8" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Buttermilk: 1-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: No Forecast Actual1"
Crested Butte S.A.: 4-10" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Independence Pass*: No Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 4-10" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 3-8" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Front Range
4/10pts (40%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 3-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
East Portal*: No Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 1-3" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: No Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: No Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
9/30pts (30%)
✔️5/6 (83%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 3-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 3-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Echo Mountain*: 1-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 3-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Keystone: 2-5" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 3-6" Forecast Actual3.5" ✔️
Winter Park: 3-6" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
7/35pts (20%)
✔️4/7 (57%)
💥2/7 (28%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Beaver Creek: 3-7" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 2-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 2-5" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Powderhorn: 4-9" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 2-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Sunlight: 4-8" Forecast Actual3" ❌️
Vail Pass*: 2-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 3-7" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Park Range / WY
3/20pts (15%)
✔️2/4 (50%)
💥1/4 (25%)
❌1/4 (25%)
Bluebird*: 3-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 5-11" Forecast Actual4" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 4-10" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Snowy Range: 1-2" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 4-10" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
12/30pts (40%)
✔️5/6 (83%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌1/6 (16%)
Cuchara*: 1-4" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 10-16" Forecast Actual10" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 6-12" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 8-14" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 4-9" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Telluride S.A.: 5-11" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 14-23" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
NWS NDFD National Weather Service Forecaster/Model
Issued Tue Dec. 14 5pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 14 9pm) Range includes multiple runs.
Central Colorado
14/35pts (40%)
✔️5/7 (71%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌2/7 (28%)
Aspen Highlands: 3-5" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 3-5" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Aspen Snowmass: 3-6" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Buttermilk: 2-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 4-6" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Crested Butte S.A.: 5-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Independence Pass*: 4-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 6-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 4-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Front Range
3/10pts (30%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌1/2 (50%)
Cameron Pass: 4" Forecast Actual3" ❌️
East Portal*: 2" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 1-2" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 1-2" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 2-4" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
9/30pts (30%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥2/6 (33%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 3-4" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 3-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Echo Mountain*: 1" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 3-4" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Keystone: 2-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 2-4" Forecast Actual3.5" ✔️
Winter Park: 1-2" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
6/35pts (17%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 2-5" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 1-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 3" Forecast Actual4" 💥️
Powderhorn: 3-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Ski Cooper: 3-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Sunlight: 3-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 3-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 3-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Park Range / WY
2/20pts (10%)
✔️1/4 (25%)
💥2/4 (50%)
❌1/4 (25%)
Bluebird*: 3" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 8-9" Forecast Actual4" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 4-6" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
Snowy Range: 1-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 6-8" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
15/30pts (50%)
✔️5/6 (83%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌1/6 (16%)
Cuchara*: 0-3" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 9-12" Forecast Actual10" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 8-10" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 8-11" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 4-6" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Telluride S.A.: 6-8" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 14-21" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
HighpointWx App Weather Model
Issued Tue Dec. 14 9pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 14 9pm) Pulled from each individual area's forecast.
Central Colorado
8/35pts (22%)
✔️4/7 (57%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌3/7 (42%)
Aspen Highlands: 4-7" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 4-7" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Aspen Snowmass: 4-8" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Buttermilk: 3-6" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Cottonwood Pass*: 4-7" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Crested Butte S.A.: 5-9" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Independence Pass*: 5-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 5-10" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 4-7" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Front Range
3/10pts (30%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 2-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
East Portal*: 1-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 1-3" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 1-3" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 1-4" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
6/30pts (20%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌1/6 (16%)
A-Basin: 3-7" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 2-5" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Echo Mountain*: 0-2" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 3-8" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Keystone: 3-7" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Loveland S.A.: 3-7" Forecast Actual3.5" ✔️
Winter Park: 2-7" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
12/35pts (34%)
✔️6/7 (85%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Beaver Creek: 4-10" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 3-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Copper Mountain: 4-8" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Powderhorn: 5-10" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 4-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Sunlight: 3-7" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 4-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 4-7" Forecast Actual3" ❌️
Park Range / WY
2/20pts (10%)
✔️1/4 (25%)
💥2/4 (50%)
❌1/4 (25%)
Bluebird*: 4-10" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 5-11" Forecast Actual4" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 4-8" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
Snowy Range: 1-4" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 6-11" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
12/30pts (40%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 0-3" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 8-16" Forecast Actual10" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 8-15" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 8-14" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 2-5" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 6-10" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 11-22" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
NBM Model Blend Deterministic
Issued Tue Dec. 14 5pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 14 9pm) NBM deterministic forecast. Forecast range accounts for different model runs.
Central Colorado
6/35pts (17%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥2/7 (28%)
❌2/7 (28%)
Aspen Highlands: 3-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 2-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 5" Forecast Actual4" ❌️
Buttermilk: 2-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 5" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Crested Butte S.A.: 3-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 4-5" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 5-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 4-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Front Range
5/10pts (50%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 3-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
East Portal*: 2-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 1-3" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 1-2" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 3" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
5/30pts (16%)
✔️3/6 (50%)
💥3/6 (50%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 2-4" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 2-3" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Echo Mountain*: 1" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 2-3" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Keystone: 2-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 2-3" Forecast Actual3.5" 💥️
Winter Park: 1-2" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
3/35pts (8%)
✔️2/7 (28%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Beaver Creek: 2" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 2-3" Forecast Actual4" 💥️
Powderhorn: 3-8" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 2-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Sunlight: 4" Forecast Actual3" ❌️
Vail Pass*: 2-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 2-3" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Park Range / WY
3/20pts (15%)
✔️1/4 (25%)
💥2/4 (50%)
❌1/4 (25%)
Bluebird*: 3-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 7-10" Forecast Actual4" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 5-6" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
Snowy Range: 1-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 4-6" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
1/30pts (3%)
✔️1/6 (16%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌5/6 (83%)
Cuchara*: 3-4" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Purgatory: 12-18" Forecast Actual10" ❌️
Red Mountain Pass: 10-14" Forecast Actual8" ❌️
Silverton S.A.*: 9-13" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 7-8" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Telluride S.A.: 6-8" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 19-22" Forecast Actual14" ❌️
NBM 25/75 Model Blend 25th - 75th Percentile
Issued Tue Dec. 14 5pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 14 9pm) NBM probabilistic forecast: 25th to 75th percentile.
Central Colorado
7/35pts (20%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥3/7 (42%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Aspen Highlands: 3-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 2-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 3-4" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Buttermilk: 2-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 2-3" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Crested Butte S.A.: 3-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 3" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 4-5" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 2-3" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Front Range
7/10pts (70%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 1-3" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
East Portal*: 1-2" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 1" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 1-2" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 1-2" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
4/30pts (13%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 1-2" Forecast Actual3" 💥️
Berthoud Pass: 1-2" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Echo Mountain*: 0-1" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 2-3" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Keystone: 1-2" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 2-3" Forecast Actual3.5" 💥️
Winter Park: 1-2" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
5/35pts (14%)
✔️2/7 (28%)
💥5/7 (71%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 2-3" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 2-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 2-3" Forecast Actual4" 💥️
Powderhorn: 3-4" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Ski Cooper: 2-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Sunlight: 3-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 2-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 2-3" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Park Range / WY
1/20pts (5%)
✔️1/4 (25%)
💥3/4 (75%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 2-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 3-6" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 3-5" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
Snowy Range: 1-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 3-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Southern Colorado / NM
6/30pts (20%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 0-1" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 5-8" Forecast Actual10" 💥️
Red Mountain Pass: 5-7" Forecast Actual8" 💥️
Silverton S.A.*: 5-7" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 1-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 3-5" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 6-12" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
NBM 50/90 Model Blend 50th - 90th Percentile
Issued Tue Dec. 14 5pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 14 9pm) NBM probabilistic forecast: 50th to 90th percentile.
Central Colorado
9/35pts (25%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥1/7 (14%)
❌3/7 (42%)
Aspen Highlands: 3-5" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 3-4" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Aspen Snowmass: 4-5" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Buttermilk: 3-4" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Cottonwood Pass*: 3-5" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Crested Butte S.A.: 4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 3-7" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 4-5" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 3-7" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Front Range
3/10pts (30%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 2-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
East Portal*: 1-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 1-3" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 1-3" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 1-3" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
5/30pts (16%)
✔️3/6 (50%)
💥3/6 (50%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 2-3" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 1-3" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Echo Mountain*: 1" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 2-3" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Keystone: 2-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 2-3" Forecast Actual3.5" 💥️
Winter Park: 1-3" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
4/35pts (11%)
✔️2/7 (28%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Beaver Creek: 3-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 2-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 2-3" Forecast Actual4" 💥️
Powderhorn: 3-6" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 2-4" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Sunlight: 4-6" Forecast Actual3" ❌️
Vail Pass*: 2-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 2-4" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Park Range / WY
3/20pts (15%)
✔️2/4 (50%)
💥2/4 (50%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 3-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 4-13" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 4-5" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
Snowy Range: 2-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 4-6" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
8/30pts (26%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 1-5" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 6-12" Forecast Actual10" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 6-12" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 6-11" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 2-14" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 4-7" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 6-29" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
CAIC WRF 2km CAIC's Hi-Res WRF Model
Issued Tue Dec. 14 5pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 14 9pm) Range includes multiple runs.
Central Colorado
10/35pts (28%)
✔️4/7 (57%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌3/7 (42%)
Aspen Highlands: 3-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 2-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 7-8" Forecast Actual4" ❌️
Buttermilk: 3-4" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Cottonwood Pass*: 4-6" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Crested Butte S.A.: 3-5" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Independence Pass*: 4-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 5-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 4-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Front Range
3/10pts (30%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌1/2 (50%)
Cameron Pass: 3-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
East Portal*: 1-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 2-3" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: 2-4" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 2-3" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
10/30pts (33%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥2/6 (33%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 3-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 3-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Echo Mountain*: 1-2" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 3-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Keystone: 2-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 3-5" Forecast Actual3.5" ✔️
Winter Park: 1-3" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
8/35pts (22%)
✔️4/7 (57%)
💥2/7 (28%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Beaver Creek: 2-5" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 3-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 3-4" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Powderhorn: 4-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 3-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Sunlight: 5-7" Forecast Actual3" ❌️
Vail Pass*: 3-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 3-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Park Range / WY
0/20pts (0%)
✔️1/4 (25%)
💥2/4 (50%)
❌1/4 (25%)
Bluebird*: 3-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 7-9" Forecast Actual4" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 4-7" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
Snowy Range: 2-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 2-4" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Southern Colorado / NM
5/30pts (16%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌1/6 (16%)
Cuchara*: 2-4" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Purgatory: 3-10" Forecast Actual10" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 5-15" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 5-10" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 2-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 3-6" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 7-20" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
NAM 12km NAM 12km Model
Issued Tue Dec. 14 5pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 14 9pm) Range includes multiple runs. Uses CAIC dynamic SLR.
Central Colorado
6/35pts (17%)
✔️4/7 (57%)
💥2/7 (28%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Aspen Highlands: 2-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 2-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 2-5" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Buttermilk: 2-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 2-4" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Crested Butte S.A.: 2-5" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Independence Pass*: 2-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 3-5" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 2-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Front Range
4/10pts (40%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 2-4" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
East Portal*: 1-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 0-4" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 1-3" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 0-4" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
7/30pts (23%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥2/6 (33%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 1-4" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 1-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Echo Mountain*: 0-2" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 1-4" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Keystone: 1-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 1-4" Forecast Actual3.5" ✔️
Winter Park: 1-4" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
6/35pts (17%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 2-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 1-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 1-4" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Powderhorn: 1-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Ski Cooper: 1-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Sunlight: 2-3" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 1-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 2-4" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Park Range / WY
0/20pts (0%)
✔️1/4 (25%)
💥3/4 (75%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 1-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 1-5" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 2-4" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
Snowy Range: 0-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 1-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Southern Colorado / NM
7/30pts (23%)
✔️3/6 (50%)
💥2/6 (33%)
❌1/6 (16%)
Cuchara*: 0-2" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 8-15" Forecast Actual10" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 4-6" Forecast Actual8" 💥️
Silverton S.A.*: 5-7" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 2-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 4-5" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 15-20" Forecast Actual14" ❌️
GFS GFS Model
Issued Tue Dec. 14 5pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 14 9pm) Range includes multiple runs. Uses CAIC dynamic SLR.
Central Colorado
6/35pts (17%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥3/7 (42%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Aspen Highlands: 1-3" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 1-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 1-4" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Buttermilk: 1-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 2-5" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Crested Butte S.A.: 2-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 1-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 3-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 3-4" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Front Range
4/10pts (40%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 2-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
East Portal*: 0-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 0-2" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 2-5" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 0-3" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
3/30pts (10%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
A-Basin: 0-3" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 0-3" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Echo Mountain*: 0-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 0-2" Forecast Actual3" 💥️
Keystone: 0-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 0-2" Forecast Actual3.5" 💥️
Winter Park: 0-3" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
4/35pts (11%)
✔️2/7 (28%)
💥5/7 (71%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 1-3" Forecast Actual5" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 0-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 0-3" Forecast Actual4" 💥️
Powderhorn: 1-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Ski Cooper: 0-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Sunlight: 2-4" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 0-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 0-3" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Park Range / WY
0/20pts (0%)
✔️1/4 (25%)
💥3/4 (75%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 2-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 2-5" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 2-4" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
Snowy Range: 0-3" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 2-4" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Southern Colorado / NM
13/30pts (43%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 0-2" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 5-15" Forecast Actual10" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 5-9" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 0-10" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 1-2" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 5-9" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 8-15" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
ECMWF (Euro) ECMWF Model
Issued Tue Dec. 14 5pm
Note: (Tue Dec. 14 9pm) Range includes multiple runs. Assumed 15:1 SLR.
Central Colorado
7/35pts (20%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌4/7 (57%)
Aspen Highlands: 4-7" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 4-7" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Aspen Snowmass: 5-7" Forecast Actual4" ❌️
Buttermilk: 4-7" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Cottonwood Pass*: 3-5" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Crested Butte S.A.: 5-8" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Independence Pass*: 3-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 5-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 3-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Front Range
2/10pts (20%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌1/2 (50%)
Cameron Pass: 3-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
East Portal*: 2-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 2-6" Forecast Actual1" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: 3-5" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 2-6" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
8/30pts (26%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌1/6 (16%)
A-Basin: 3-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 2-7" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Echo Mountain*: 1-3" Forecast Actual N/A
Jones Pass: 3-7" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Keystone: 3-5" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Loveland S.A.: 3-5" Forecast Actual3.5" ✔️
Winter Park: 3-7" Forecast Actual9" 💥️
I-70 West
11/35pts (31%)
✔️5/7 (71%)
💥1/7 (14%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Beaver Creek: 3-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 3-5" Forecast Actual6" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 3-6" Forecast Actual4" ✔️
Powderhorn: 5-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 3-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Sunlight: 4-7" Forecast Actual3" ❌️
Vail Pass*: 3-5" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 3-7" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Park Range / WY
4/15pts (26%)
✔️2/3 (66%)
💥0/3 (0%)
❌1/3 (33%)
Bluebird*: 3-8" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 5-10" Forecast Actual4" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 4-9" Forecast Actual9" ✔️
Snowy Range: No Forecast Actual6"
Steamboat S.A.: 4-10" Forecast Actual6" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
11/25pts (44%)
✔️4/5 (80%)
💥0/5 (0%)
❌1/5 (20%)
Cuchara*: 1-2" Forecast Actual1" ✔️
Purgatory: 8-17" Forecast Actual10" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 8-13" Forecast Actual8" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 8-13" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: No Forecast Actual2"
Telluride S.A.: 8-13" Forecast Actual7" ❌️
Wolf Creek: 10-14" Forecast Actual14" ✔️