Last updated Thursday December 25, 2021 5pm.
Forecast Start: Tuesday December 23, 2021 5am
Forecast End: Thursday December 25, 2021 5am
* = No reliable observations, verification uses SNODAS estimates which
may be incorrect.
"Score" accounts for the spread/range of an accurate forecast. Lower
spread = higher score. For instance, if 4" falls at a certain location,
the forecast for 2-7" gets less points than the forecast for 3-5". Points are deducted for very inaccurate forecasts.
Thomas Horner Weather Forecaster @ Highpoint Weather
Issued Tue Dec. 23 8:30pm
Central Colorado
0/30pts (0%)
✔️3/6 (50%)
💥3/6 (50%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 10-20" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 9-18" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 12-24" Forecast Actual21" ✔️
Buttermilk: 9-18" Forecast Actual17" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 9-18" Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 13-26" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 12-24" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 16-32" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 9-18" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Front Range
2/10pts (20%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥1/2 (50%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 8-16" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
East Portal*: 4-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 3-7" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 6-12" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 4-9" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
4/35pts (11%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌0/7 (0%)
A-Basin: 6-12" Forecast Actual13" 💥️
Berthoud Pass: 7-15" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Echo Mountain: 2-6" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Jones Pass: 8-16" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Keystone: 6-12" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 7-15" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Winter Park: 6-12" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
I-70 West
9/35pts (25%)
✔️5/7 (71%)
💥2/7 (28%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 10-20" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 8-16" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 8-16" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Powderhorn: 8-16" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 8-16" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Sunlight: 8-16" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 9-18" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 9-18" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Park Range / WY
8/20pts (40%)
✔️4/4 (100%)
💥0/4 (0%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 16-32" Forecast Actual20" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 11-22" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Snowy Range: 8-16" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 12-24" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
11/30pts (36%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 3-8" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Purgatory: 15-30" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 15-30" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 14-28" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 9-18" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 8-16" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 24-48" Forecast Actual33" ✔️
OpenSnow Weather Forecaster
Issued Tue Dec. 23 7pm
Note: () Pulled from each individual area's 12-Hr forecast.
Central Colorado
5/30pts (16%)
✔️3/6 (50%)
💥2/6 (33%)
❌1/6 (16%)
Aspen Highlands: 16-28" Forecast Actual28" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 12-22" Forecast Actual22" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 15-28" Forecast Actual21" ✔️
Buttermilk: 8-16" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: No Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 23-38" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: No Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 24-41" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 21-36" Forecast Actual16" ❌️
Front Range
4/10pts (40%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 14-25" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
East Portal*: No Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 4-9" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: No Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: No Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
13/35pts (37%)
✔️7/7 (100%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌0/7 (0%)
A-Basin: 9-17" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 9-16" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Echo Mountain: 2-5" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Jones Pass: 9-20" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Keystone: 6-14" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 10-21" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Winter Park: 8-15" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
I-70 West
9/35pts (25%)
✔️5/7 (71%)
💥2/7 (28%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 10-21" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 8-16" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 9-15" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Powderhorn: 8-16" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 9-17" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Sunlight: 6-14" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 9-17" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 10-21" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Park Range / WY
4/20pts (20%)
✔️2/4 (50%)
💥0/4 (0%)
❌2/4 (50%)
Bluebird*: 10-19" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 22-36" Forecast Actual20" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 13-24" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Snowy Range: 7-14" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 16-30" Forecast Actual14" ❌️
Southern Colorado / NM
7/30pts (23%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌2/6 (33%)
Cuchara*: 2-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Purgatory: 19-32" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 18-28" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 18-28" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 21-34" Forecast Actual13" ❌️
Telluride S.A.: 13-23" Forecast Actual12" ❌️
Wolf Creek: 31-48" Forecast Actual33" ✔️
NWS NDFD National Weather Service Forecaster/Model
Issued Tue Dec. 23 5am
Note: () Range includes multiple runs.
Central Colorado
-8/30pts (-27%)
✔️1/6 (16%)
💥5/6 (83%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 10-15" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 10-14" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 13-18" Forecast Actual21" 💥️
Buttermilk: 5-12" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 15-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 14-20" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 16-19" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 19-24" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 10-16" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Front Range
3/10pts (30%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥1/2 (50%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 17-23" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
East Portal*: 5-7" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 3-4" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Hidden Valley*: 9-16" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 5-7" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
8/35pts (22%)
✔️4/7 (57%)
💥3/7 (42%)
❌0/7 (0%)
A-Basin: 9-13" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 9-12" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Echo Mountain: 2-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Jones Pass: 10-15" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Keystone: 7-9" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 10-14" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Winter Park: 6-8" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
I-70 West
2/35pts (5%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 6-14" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 8-11" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 11-14" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Powderhorn: 2-10" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Ski Cooper: 8-16" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Sunlight: 9-14" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 10-14" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 9-16" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Park Range / WY
5/20pts (25%)
✔️2/4 (50%)
💥0/4 (0%)
❌2/4 (50%)
Bluebird*: 9-14" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 24-37" Forecast Actual20" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 14-21" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Snowy Range: 9-14" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 15-25" Forecast Actual14" ❌️
Southern Colorado / NM
14/30pts (46%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 2-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Purgatory: 16-26" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 14-22" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 15-24" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 9-15" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 9-18" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 22-38" Forecast Actual33" ✔️
HighpointWx App Weather Model
Issued Tue Dec. 23 7pm
Note: () Pulled from each individual area's forecast.
Central Colorado
4/30pts (13%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌1/6 (16%)
Aspen Highlands: 12-29" Forecast Actual28" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 13-29" Forecast Actual22" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 26-48" Forecast Actual21" ❌️
Buttermilk: 7-18" Forecast Actual17" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 12-30" Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 18-36" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 19-36" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 16-31" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 7-24" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Front Range
3/10pts (30%)
✔️2/2 (100%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 15-37" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
East Portal*: 4-16" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 3-13" Forecast Actual7" ✔️
Hidden Valley*: 5-20" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 5-20" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
6/35pts (17%)
✔️7/7 (100%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌0/7 (0%)
A-Basin: 9-31" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 7-25" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Echo Mountain: 1-8" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Jones Pass: 10-30" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Keystone: 7-25" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 9-27" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Winter Park: 7-25" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
I-70 West
11/35pts (31%)
✔️7/7 (100%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 15-30" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 9-26" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Copper Mountain: 13-34" Forecast Actual22" ✔️
Powderhorn: 11-25" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 13-30" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Sunlight: 9-20" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 13-34" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 11-29" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Park Range / WY
1/20pts (5%)
✔️1/4 (25%)
💥0/4 (0%)
❌3/4 (75%)
Bluebird*: 13-29" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 22-46" Forecast Actual20" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 16-33" Forecast Actual14" ❌️
Snowy Range: 7-28" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 17-35" Forecast Actual14" ❌️
Southern Colorado / NM
7/25pts (28%)
✔️4/5 (80%)
💥1/5 (20%)
❌0/5 (0%)
Cuchara*: 1-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Purgatory: 18-34" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 17-35" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 17-35" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 4-12" Forecast Actual13" 💥️
Telluride S.A.: 10-24" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Wolf Creek: No Forecast Actual33"
NBM Model Blend Deterministic
Issued Tue Dec. 23 5am
Note: () NBM deterministic forecast. Forecast range accounts for different model runs.
Central Colorado
-4/30pts (-14%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 5-15" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 8-15" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 12-25" Forecast Actual21" ✔️
Buttermilk: 7-15" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 13-29" Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 14-26" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 11-16" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 17-32" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 8-26" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Front Range
3/10pts (30%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥1/2 (50%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 12-19" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
East Portal*: 4-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 3-4" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Hidden Valley*: 10-17" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 4-7" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
3/35pts (8%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌0/7 (0%)
A-Basin: 6-13" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 5-8" Forecast Actual11" 💥️
Echo Mountain: 1-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Jones Pass: 7-13" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Keystone: 5-8" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 8-17" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Winter Park: 4-7" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
I-70 West
-1/35pts (-3%)
✔️1/7 (14%)
💥6/7 (85%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 8-13" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 7-14" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 7-16" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Powderhorn: 11-22" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 6-14" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Sunlight: 5-12" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Vail Pass*: 7-17" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 6-9" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Park Range / WY
8/20pts (40%)
✔️3/4 (75%)
💥0/4 (0%)
❌1/4 (25%)
Bluebird*: 10-12" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 29-41" Forecast Actual20" ❌️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 13-15" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Snowy Range: 11-15" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 11-16" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
9/30pts (30%)
✔️5/6 (83%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 2-14" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Purgatory: 15-24" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 12-18" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Silverton S.A.*: 12-18" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 13-31" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 8-14" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 23-41" Forecast Actual33" ✔️
NBM 25/75 Model Blend 25th - 75th Percentile
Issued Tue Dec. 23 5am
Note: () NBM probabilistic forecast: 25th to 75th percentile.
Central Colorado
-12/30pts (-40%)
✔️0/6 (0%)
💥6/6 (100%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 6-15" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 5-12" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 8-18" Forecast Actual21" 💥️
Buttermilk: 5-12" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 9-16" Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 11-16" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 11-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 14-21" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 5-15" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Front Range
-2/10pts (-20%)
✔️0/2 (0%)
💥2/2 (100%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 8-12" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
East Portal*: 3-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 2-3" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Hidden Valley*: 5-10" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 3-6" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
-4/35pts (-12%)
✔️1/7 (14%)
💥6/7 (85%)
❌0/7 (0%)
A-Basin: 3-9" Forecast Actual13" 💥️
Berthoud Pass: 3-8" Forecast Actual11" 💥️
Echo Mountain: 1-3" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Jones Pass: 4-10" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Keystone: 3-7" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 4-10" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Winter Park: 3-6" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
I-70 West
-9/35pts (-26%)
✔️0/7 (0%)
💥7/7 (100%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 5-11" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 4-9" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 5-10" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Powderhorn: 3-9" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Ski Cooper: 6-11" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Sunlight: 3-11" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Vail Pass*: 6-10" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 5-9" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Park Range / WY
-1/20pts (-5%)
✔️0/4 (0%)
💥4/4 (100%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 8-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 10-19" Forecast Actual20" 💥️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 9-10" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Snowy Range: 5-11" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 6-11" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Southern Colorado / NM
-1/30pts (-4%)
✔️1/6 (16%)
💥5/6 (83%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 0-4" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Purgatory: 9-18" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Red Mountain Pass: 9-18" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Silverton S.A.*: 10-17" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 2-9" Forecast Actual13" 💥️
Telluride S.A.: 4-11" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 11-25" Forecast Actual33" 💥️
NBM 50/90 Model Blend 50th - 90th Percentile
Issued Tue Dec. 23 5am
Note: () NBM probabilistic forecast: 50th to 90th percentile.
Central Colorado
0/30pts (0%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 11-21" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 8-16" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 14-27" Forecast Actual21" ✔️
Buttermilk: 7-15" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 10-30" Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 14-34" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 14-22" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 17-44" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 6-27" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Front Range
0/10pts (0%)
✔️0/2 (0%)
💥2/2 (100%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 10-17" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
East Portal*: 4-7" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 3-5" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Hidden Valley*: 7-13" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 4-7" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
4/35pts (11%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌0/7 (0%)
A-Basin: 6-13" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 5-9" Forecast Actual11" 💥️
Echo Mountain: 2-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Jones Pass: 6-12" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Keystone: 5-9" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 6-16" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Winter Park: 4-8" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
I-70 West
-5/35pts (-15%)
✔️1/7 (14%)
💥6/7 (85%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 8-14" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 7-11" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 8-13" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Powderhorn: 4-22" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 9-13" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Sunlight: 6-13" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Vail Pass*: 9-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 7-11" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Park Range / WY
8/20pts (40%)
✔️4/4 (100%)
💥0/4 (0%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 9-12" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 12-40" Forecast Actual20" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 9-15" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Snowy Range: 7-13" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 9-17" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
6/30pts (20%)
✔️6/6 (100%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Cuchara*: 1-12" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Purgatory: 13-27" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 12-25" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 12-25" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 4-36" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 7-20" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 15-45" Forecast Actual33" ✔️
CAIC WRF 2km CAIC's Hi-Res WRF Model
Issued Tue Dec. 23 11am
Note: () Range includes multiple runs.
Central Colorado
-6/30pts (-20%)
✔️0/6 (0%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌2/6 (33%)
Aspen Highlands: 15-20" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 9-15" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 25-40" Forecast Actual21" ❌️
Buttermilk: 10-15" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 30-40" Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 20-40" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 15-25" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 30-40" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 25-40" Forecast Actual16" ❌️
Front Range
2/10pts (20%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌1/2 (50%)
Cameron Pass: 15-30" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
East Portal*: 10-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 8-15" Forecast Actual7" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: 15-30" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 10-15" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
8/35pts (22%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌4/7 (57%)
A-Basin: 15-25" Forecast Actual13" ❌️
Berthoud Pass: 10-20" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Echo Mountain: 3-6" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Jones Pass: 15-20" Forecast Actual12" ❌️
Keystone: 9-15" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 20-25" Forecast Actual19" ❌️
Winter Park: 9-15" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
I-70 West
18/35pts (51%)
✔️6/7 (85%)
💥0/7 (0%)
❌1/7 (14%)
Beaver Creek: 10-15" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 15-25" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Copper Mountain: 15-25" Forecast Actual22" ✔️
Powderhorn: 15-25" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Ski Cooper: 15-25" Forecast Actual16" ✔️
Sunlight: 15-25" Forecast Actual14" ❌️
Vail Pass*: 15-25" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 10-15" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Park Range / WY
8/20pts (40%)
✔️4/4 (100%)
💥0/4 (0%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 9-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 20-40" Forecast Actual20" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 10-25" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Snowy Range: 10-20" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 10-20" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
3/30pts (10%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌3/6 (50%)
Cuchara*: 8-9" Forecast Actual3" ❌️
Purgatory: 15-20" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 15-20" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 20-30" Forecast Actual13" ❌️
Telluride S.A.: 7-9" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Wolf Creek: 40-60" Forecast Actual33" ❌️
NAM 12km NAM 12km Model
Issued Tue Dec. 23 11am
Note: () Range includes multiple runs. Uses CAIC dynamic SLR.
Central Colorado
-12/30pts (-40%)
✔️0/6 (0%)
💥6/6 (100%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 5-15" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 4-10" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 5-15" Forecast Actual21" 💥️
Buttermilk: 4-10" Forecast Actual17" 💥️
Cottonwood Pass*: 7-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 10-25" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 4-9" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 10-30" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 5-15" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Front Range
1/10pts (10%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥1/2 (50%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 8-25" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
East Portal*: 2-4" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 1-4" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Hidden Valley*: 7-20" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 1-4" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
-8/35pts (-23%)
✔️0/7 (0%)
💥7/7 (100%)
❌0/7 (0%)
A-Basin: 4-7" Forecast Actual13" 💥️
Berthoud Pass: 3-5" Forecast Actual11" 💥️
Echo Mountain: 0-1" Forecast Actual2" 💥️
Jones Pass: 4-7" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Keystone: 4-8" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 5-9" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Winter Park: 3-5" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
I-70 West
-7/35pts (-20%)
✔️2/7 (28%)
💥5/7 (71%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 9-20" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 3-7" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 4-10" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Powderhorn: 4-8" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Ski Cooper: 3-8" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Sunlight: 3-8" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Vail Pass*: 6-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 9-20" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Park Range / WY
3/20pts (15%)
✔️3/4 (75%)
💥1/4 (25%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 6-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 9-30" Forecast Actual20" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 6-20" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Snowy Range: 3-10" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Steamboat S.A.: 7-20" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Southern Colorado / NM
2/30pts (6%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥1/6 (16%)
❌1/6 (16%)
Cuchara*: 7-20" Forecast Actual3" ❌️
Purgatory: 7-25" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Red Mountain Pass: 4-15" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Silverton S.A.*: 5-15" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 7-25" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 4-15" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 10-40" Forecast Actual33" ✔️
GFS GFS Model
Issued Tue Dec. 23 11am
Note: () Range includes multiple runs. Uses CAIC dynamic SLR.
Central Colorado
5/30pts (16%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥4/6 (66%)
❌0/6 (0%)
Aspen Highlands: 10-25" Forecast Actual28" 💥️
Aspen Mountain: 10-20" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Aspen Snowmass: 15-25" Forecast Actual21" ✔️
Buttermilk: 10-20" Forecast Actual17" ✔️
Cottonwood Pass*: 15-25" Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 20-40" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 25-40" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 8-15" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Front Range
0/10pts (0%)
✔️0/2 (0%)
💥2/2 (100%)
❌0/2 (0%)
Cameron Pass: 9-15" Forecast Actual18" 💥️
East Portal*: 4-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 3-6" Forecast Actual7" 💥️
Hidden Valley*: 9-15" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 4-6" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
-9/35pts (-26%)
✔️1/7 (14%)
💥6/7 (85%)
❌0/7 (0%)
A-Basin: 0-5" Forecast Actual13" 💥️
Berthoud Pass: 0-6" Forecast Actual11" 💥️
Echo Mountain: 1-4" Forecast Actual2" ✔️
Jones Pass: 0-6" Forecast Actual12" 💥️
Keystone: 0-6" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Loveland S.A.: 0-6" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Winter Park: 0-5" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
I-70 West
-10/35pts (-29%)
✔️1/7 (14%)
💥6/7 (85%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 0-9" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Breckenridge S.A.: 0-6" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 0-5" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Powderhorn: 3-6" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Ski Cooper: 5-9" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Sunlight: 8-15" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 0-5" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 0-8" Forecast Actual15" 💥️
Park Range / WY
-1/20pts (-5%)
✔️1/4 (25%)
💥3/4 (75%)
❌0/4 (0%)
Bluebird*: 0-6" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 7-15" Forecast Actual20" 💥️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 5-9" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Snowy Range: 7-15" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Steamboat S.A.: 4-9" Forecast Actual14" 💥️
Southern Colorado / NM
7/30pts (23%)
✔️4/6 (66%)
💥0/6 (0%)
❌2/6 (33%)
Cuchara*: 2-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️
Purgatory: 20-30" Forecast Actual19" ❌️
Red Mountain Pass: 15-20" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 15-20" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: 5-15" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Telluride S.A.: 15-20" Forecast Actual12" ❌️
Wolf Creek: 22-42" Forecast Actual33" ✔️
ECMWF (Euro) ECMWF Model
Issued Tue Dec. 23 5am
Note: () Range includes multiple runs. Assumed 15:1 SLR.
Central Colorado
6/30pts (20%)
✔️2/6 (33%)
💥2/6 (33%)
❌2/6 (33%)
Aspen Highlands: 24-30" Forecast Actual28" ✔️
Aspen Mountain: 20-27" Forecast Actual22" ✔️
Aspen Snowmass: 24-33" Forecast Actual21" ❌️
Buttermilk: 20-30" Forecast Actual17" ❌️
Cottonwood Pass*: 17-27" Forecast Actual N/A
Crested Butte S.A.: 27-36" Forecast Actual41" 💥️
Independence Pass*: 17-27" Forecast Actual N/A
Kebler Pass*: 24-33" Forecast Actual N/A
Monarch: 8-14" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Front Range
2/10pts (20%)
✔️1/2 (50%)
💥0/2 (0%)
❌1/2 (50%)
Cameron Pass: 15-27" Forecast Actual18" ✔️
East Portal*: 10-14" Forecast Actual N/A
Eldora: 10-14" Forecast Actual7" ❌️
Hidden Valley*: 17-27" Forecast Actual N/A
St. Mary's Glacier*: 9-14" Forecast Actual N/A
I-70 East
13/35pts (37%)
✔️5/7 (71%)
💥1/7 (14%)
❌1/7 (14%)
A-Basin: 11-17" Forecast Actual13" ✔️
Berthoud Pass: 11-17" Forecast Actual11" ✔️
Echo Mountain: 3-7" Forecast Actual2" ❌️
Jones Pass: 12-18" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Keystone: 10-17" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Loveland S.A.: 12-18" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Winter Park: 10-17" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
I-70 West
6/35pts (17%)
✔️3/7 (42%)
💥4/7 (57%)
❌0/7 (0%)
Beaver Creek: 12-21" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Breckenridge S.A.: 7-14" Forecast Actual19" 💥️
Copper Mountain: 9-15" Forecast Actual22" 💥️
Powderhorn: 9-15" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Ski Cooper: 10-15" Forecast Actual16" 💥️
Sunlight: 10-15" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Vail Pass*: 10-18" Forecast Actual N/A
Vail S.A.: 15-24" Forecast Actual15" ✔️
Park Range / WY
5/15pts (33%)
✔️2/3 (66%)
💥0/3 (0%)
❌1/3 (33%)
Bluebird*: 12-21" Forecast Actual N/A
Buffalo Pass: 20-33" Forecast Actual20" ✔️
Rabbit Ears Pass: 14-24" Forecast Actual14" ✔️
Snowy Range: No Forecast Actual12"
Steamboat S.A.: 17-30" Forecast Actual14" ❌️
Southern Colorado / NM
3/25pts (12%)
✔️2/5 (40%)
💥0/5 (0%)
❌3/5 (60%)
Cuchara*: 8-11" Forecast Actual3" ❌️
Purgatory: 24-30" Forecast Actual19" ❌️
Red Mountain Pass: 17-24" Forecast Actual19" ✔️
Silverton S.A.*: 17-24" Forecast Actual N/A
Taos S.V.: No Forecast Actual13"
Telluride S.A.: 12-21" Forecast Actual12" ✔️
Wolf Creek: 36-42" Forecast Actual33" ❌️