Snow Forecast Comparison and Verification Tool: Feb. 16 - Feb. 17, 2021

Updated Thu Feb 17, 2022 10:00am MST | Published Thu Feb 17, 2022

By Thomas Horner

Last updated Thursday February 17, 2022 10am.

Forecast Start: Wednesday February 16, 2022 5am

Forecast End: Thursday February 17, 2022 5am

* = No reliable observations, verification uses SNODAS estimates which may be incorrect.
"Score" accounts for the spread/range of an accurate forecast. Lower spread = higher score. For instance, if 4" falls at a certain location, the forecast for 2-7" gets less points than the forecast for 3-5". Points are deducted for very inaccurate forecasts.

Thomas Horner Weather Forecaster @ Highpoint Weather

Issued Tue Feb. 15 3pm
✔️ Verified
81%
27/33
Score
24%
41/165
🎯 Spread
4.0
average
💥 High
6
18%
❌ Low
0
0%

Central Colorado
7/30pts (23%) ✔️4/6 (66%) 💥2/6 (33%) 0/6 (0%)

Aspen Highlands: 3-7" Forecast Actual7" ✔️

2pts
7" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Aspen Mountain: 3-7" Forecast Actual8" 💥️

8" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Aspen Snowmass: 4-8" Forecast Actual11" 💥️

11" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Buttermilk: 3-7" Forecast Actual4" ✔️

2pts
4" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Cottonwood Pass*: 3-7" Forecast Actual N/A

Crested Butte S.A.: 0-4" Forecast Actual4" ✔️

2pts
4" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Independence Pass*: 3-7" Forecast Actual N/A

Kebler Pass*: 1-5" Forecast Actual N/A

Monarch: 2-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️

1pts
3" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Front Range
4/10pts (40%) ✔️2/2 (100%) 💥0/2 (0%) 0/2 (0%)

Cameron Pass: 3-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️

2pts
6" Feb 17 5am (SNOTEL)

East Portal*: 2-6" Forecast Actual N/A

Eldora: 3-7" Forecast Actual4" ✔️

2pts
4" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Hidden Valley*: 4-8" Forecast Actual N/A

St. Mary's Glacier*: 3-7" Forecast Actual N/A

I-70 East
10/35pts (28%) ✔️7/7 (100%) 💥0/7 (0%) 0/7 (0%)

A-Basin: 1-5" Forecast Actual2" ✔️

1pts
2" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Berthoud Pass: 3-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️

2pts
6" Feb 17 5am (SNOTLE)

Echo Mountain*: 3-7" Forecast Actual5" ✔️

2pts
5" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Jones Pass: 2-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️

1pts
5" Feb 17 5am (SNOTEL)

Keystone: 1-5" Forecast Actual3" ✔️

1pts
3" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Loveland S.A.: 2-6" Forecast Actual2" ✔️

1pts
2" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Winter Park: 3-7" Forecast Actual4" ✔️

2pts
4" Feb 17 5am (Official)

I-70 West
8/35pts (22%) ✔️5/7 (71%) 💥2/7 (28%) 0/7 (0%)

Beaver Creek: 3-7" Forecast Actual6" ✔️

2pts
6" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Breckenridge S.A.: 3-7" Forecast Actual9" 💥️

9" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Copper Mountain: 3-7" Forecast Actual5" ✔️

2pts
5" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Powderhorn: 3-7" Forecast Actual7" ✔️

2pts
7" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Ski Cooper: 2-6" Forecast Actual2" ✔️

1pts
2" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Sunlight: 1-5" Forecast Actual2" ✔️

1pts
2" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Vail Pass*: 2-6" Forecast Actual N/A

Vail S.A.: 2-6" Forecast Actual7" 💥️

7" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Park Range / WY
6/25pts (24%) ✔️4/5 (80%) 💥1/5 (20%) 0/5 (0%)

Bluebird*: 3-7" Forecast Actual3" ✔️

2pts
3" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Buffalo Pass: 3-7" Forecast Actual7" ✔️

2pts
7" Feb 17 5am (SNOTEL)

Rabbit Ears Pass: 2-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️

1pts
5" Feb 17 5am (SNOTEL)

Snowy Range: 2-6" Forecast Actual3" ✔️

1pts
3" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Steamboat S.A.: 2-6" Forecast Actual9" 💥️

9" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Southern Colorado / NM
6/30pts (20%) ✔️5/6 (83%) 💥1/6 (16%) 0/6 (0%)

Cuchara*: 2-6" Forecast Actual4" ✔️

1pts
4" Feb 17 5am (SNOTEL)

Purgatory: 1-5" Forecast Actual2" ✔️

1pts
2" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Red Mountain Pass: 4-9" Forecast Actual7" ✔️

2pts
7" Feb 17 5am (SNOTEL)

Silverton S.A.*: 3-8" Forecast Actual9" 💥️

9" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Taos S.V.: 0-4" Forecast Actual N/A

Telluride S.A.: 2-6" Forecast Actual5" ✔️

1pts
5" Feb 17 5am (Official)

Wolf Creek: 2-6" Forecast Actual6" ✔️

1pts
6" Feb 17 5am (Official)

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