Snow Forecast Comparison and Verification Tool: Mar. 4 - Mar. 7, 2021

Updated Thu Feb 17, 2022 10:00am MST | Published Fri Mar 4, 2022

By Thomas Horner

Last updated Monday March 7, 2022 9am.

Forecast Start: Friday March 4, 2022 5am

Forecast End: Monday March 7, 2022 5am

* = No reliable observations, verification uses SNODAS estimates which may be incorrect.
"Score" accounts for the spread/range of an accurate forecast. Lower spread = higher score. For instance, if 4" falls at a certain location, the forecast for 2-7" gets less points than the forecast for 3-5". Points are deducted for very inaccurate forecasts.

Thomas Horner Weather Forecaster @ Highpoint Weather

Issued Thu Mar. 3 6pm
✔️ Verified
69%
23/33
Score
25%
42/165
🎯 Spread
7.8
average
💥 High
7
21%
❌ Low
3
9%

Central Colorado
8/30pts (26%) ✔️4/6 (66%) 💥2/6 (33%) 0/6 (0%)

Aspen Highlands: 8-16" Forecast Actual17" 💥️

3" Mar 5 5am (Official)
8" Mar 6 5am (Official)
6" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Aspen Mountain: 7-14" Forecast Actual10" ✔️

2pts
2" Mar 5 5am (Official)
5" Mar 6 5am (Official)
3" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Aspen Snowmass: 9-18" Forecast Actual11" ✔️

2pts
3" Mar 5 5am (Official)
3" Mar 6 5am (Official)
5" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Buttermilk: 7-14" Forecast Actual9" ✔️

2pts
2" Mar 5 5am (Official)
5" Mar 6 5am (Official)
2" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Cottonwood Pass*: 6-12" Forecast Actual N/A

Crested Butte S.A.: 8-16" Forecast Actual12" ✔️

2pts
5" Mar 5 5am (Official)
7" Mar 6 5am (Official)

Independence Pass*: 7-14" Forecast Actual N/A

Kebler Pass*: 10-20" Forecast Actual N/A

Monarch: 7-14" Forecast Actual17" 💥️

3" Mar 5 5am (Official)
2" Mar 6 5am (Official)
12" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Front Range
2/10pts (20%) ✔️1/2 (50%) 💥0/2 (0%) 1/2 (50%)

Cameron Pass: 10-20" Forecast Actual10" ✔️

2pts
4" Mar 5 5am (SNOTEL)
4" Mar 6 5am (SNOTEL)
2" Mar 7 5am (SNOTEL)

East Portal*: 6-12" Forecast Actual N/A

Eldora: 5-10" Forecast Actual4" ❌️

0" Mar 5 5am (Official)
1" Mar 6 5am (Official)
3" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Hidden Valley*: 7-14" Forecast Actual N/A

St. Mary's Glacier*: 6-12" Forecast Actual N/A

I-70 East
8/30pts (26%) ✔️4/6 (66%) 💥0/6 (0%) 2/6 (33%)

A-Basin: 7-14" Forecast Actual6" ❌️

3" Mar 5 5am (Official)
1" Mar 6 5am (Official)
2" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Berthoud Pass: 7-14" Forecast Actual7" ✔️

2pts
2" Mar 5 5am (SNOTEL)
2" Mar 6 5am (SNOTEL)
3" Mar 7 5am (SNOTEL)

Echo Mountain*: 4-8" Forecast Actual N/A

Jones Pass: 9-18" Forecast Actual11" ✔️

2pts
2" Mar 5 5am (SNOTEL)
3" Mar 6 5am (SNOTEL)
6" Mar 7 5am (SNOTEL)

Keystone: 7-14" Forecast Actual10" ✔️

2pts
2" Mar 5 5am (Official)
3" Mar 6 5am (Official)
5" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Loveland S.A.: 7-14" Forecast Actual6" ❌️

2" Mar 5 5am (Official)
2" Mar 6 5am (Official)
2" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Winter Park: 7-14" Forecast Actual10" ✔️

2pts
1" Mar 5 5am (Official)
2" Mar 6 5am (Official)
7" Mar 7 5am (Official)

I-70 West
8/35pts (22%) ✔️5/7 (71%) 💥2/7 (28%) 0/7 (0%)

Beaver Creek: 9-18" Forecast Actual12" ✔️

2pts
5" Mar 5 5am (Official)
6" Mar 6 5am (Official)
1" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Breckenridge S.A.: 7-14" Forecast Actual8" ✔️

2pts
1" Mar 5 5am (Official)
1" Mar 6 5am (Official)
6" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Copper Mountain: 7-14" Forecast Actual10" ✔️

2pts
1" Mar 5 5am (Official)
3" Mar 6 5am (Official)
6" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Powderhorn: 8-16" Forecast Actual20" 💥️

-1pts
6" Mar 5 5am (Official)
6" Mar 6 5am (Official)
8" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Ski Cooper: 7-14" Forecast Actual9" ✔️

2pts
1" Mar 5 5am (Official)
3" Mar 6 5am (Official)
5" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Sunlight: 5-10" Forecast Actual16" 💥️

-1pts
10" Mar 5 5am (Official)
2" Mar 6 5am (Official)
4" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Vail Pass*: 8-16" Forecast Actual N/A

Vail S.A.: 9-18" Forecast Actual13" ✔️

2pts
4" Mar 5 5am (Official)
6" Mar 6 5am (Official)
3" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Park Range / WY
8/25pts (32%) ✔️4/5 (80%) 💥1/5 (20%) 0/5 (0%)

Bluebird: 6-12" Forecast Actual9" ✔️

2pts
3" Mar 5 5am (Official)
5" Mar 6 5am (Official)
1" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Buffalo Pass: 12-24" Forecast Actual16" ✔️

2pts
5" Mar 5 5am (SNOTEL)
7" Mar 6 5am (SNOTEL)
4" Mar 7 5am (SNOTEL)

Rabbit Ears Pass: 7-14" Forecast Actual16" 💥️

6" Mar 5 5am (SNOTEL)
5" Mar 6 5am (SNOTEL)
5" Mar 7 5am (SNOTEL)

Snowy Range: 8-16" Forecast Actual8" ✔️

2pts
1" Mar 5 5am (Official)
6" Mar 6 5am (Official)
1" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Steamboat S.A.: 8-16" Forecast Actual15" ✔️

2pts
5" Mar 5 5am (Official)
6" Mar 6 5am (Official)
4" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Southern Colorado / NM
8/35pts (22%) ✔️5/7 (71%) 💥2/7 (28%) 0/7 (0%)

Cuchara*: 4-9" Forecast Actual10" 💥️

3" Mar 5 5am (SNOTEL)
1" Mar 6 5am (SNOTEL)
6" Mar 7 5am (SNOTEL)

Purgatory: 12-24" Forecast Actual17" ✔️

2pts
2" Mar 5 5am (Official)
9" Mar 6 5am (Official)
6" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Red Mountain Pass: 12-24" Forecast Actual14" ✔️

2pts
3" Mar 5 5am (SNOTEL)
8" Mar 6 5am (SNOTEL)
3" Mar 7 5am (SNOTEL)

Silverton S.A.: 10-20" Forecast Actual12" ✔️

2pts
3" Mar 5 5am (Official)
6" Mar 6 5am (Official)
3" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Taos S.V.: 7-14" Forecast Actual25" 💥️

-2pts
5" Mar 5 5am (Official)
10" Mar 6 5am (Official)
10" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Telluride S.A.: 7-14" Forecast Actual12" ✔️

2pts
4" Mar 5 5am (Official)
3" Mar 6 5am (Official)
5" Mar 7 5am (Official)

Wolf Creek: 15-30" Forecast Actual23" ✔️

2pts
2" Mar 5 5am (Official)
10" Mar 6 5am (Official)
11" Mar 7 5am (Official)

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